2018 Quebec general election

Furthermore, the Lieutenant Governor could have called an election sooner should the Premier have requested one, or in the event the government had been dissolved by a motion of no confidence.

[4] The Commission de la représentation électorale performed a redistribution in 2017, which maintained the number of seats in the National Assembly at 125 for the next general election, making the following alterations:[5]

[58] The CAQ’s landslide victory was, in part, surprising due to the close outcome that was projected by opinion polls during the campaigning period.

Although polls estimated a difference of approximately 2% between the PLQ and the CAQ in the days leading up to the election, the results showed a 12.6% gap in voting.

[63][64] Additionally, the question of sovereignty, which had previously been a reliable indicator of voting choice[63][65] was replaced by other matters such as identity, immigration, redistribution, and the environment.

[66] These findings suggest that the CAQ’s shocking victory was the result of longstanding trends toward a multi-party system and a diversified agenda of topics which were not accurately predicted by the polls.Cristina Roos (Green) The CAQ went into the election as the third party in the legislature, but won a decisive victory with 74 seats, exceeding all published opinion polling.

The CAQ formed government for the first time, mainly by dominating its traditional heartlands of Capitale-Nationale, Chaudière-Appalaches and Centre-du-Québec, while winning sweeps or near-sweeps in Mauricie, Estrie, Lanaudière, Montérégie, the Laurentides and northern Quebec.

[100] Echoing this, Christian Bourque of Montreal-based pollster Léger Marketing told The Guardian that he believed the PQ was likely finished in its present form, and would have to merge with another sovereigntist party to avoid fading into irrelevance.

Results by riding of the 15 by-elections to the National Assembly of Quebec during the 41st Legislature (2014–2018)
Evolution of voting intentions during the pre-campaign period of the 2018 Quebec general election.
Evolution of voting intentions during the campaign period of the 2018 Quebec general election.