2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses

Analysts described the results as establishing him as the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, with both DeSantis's and Haley's campaigns seen as heavily damaged.

[9] Ramaswamy announced the suspension of his campaign the night of the caucus, endorsing Trump, but retained his three delegates.

The victory of social conservatives George W. Bush,[13] Mike Huckabee,[14] Rick Santorum,[15] and Ted Cruz in the 2000, 2008, 2012, and 2016 Iowa caucuses, respectively, was credited to their strong support among evangelical voters.

[16][17] In 2016, it was noted by The Des Moines Register that almost half of likely Republican caucusgoers self-identify as evangelical or born-again Christians.

[18] In the 2016 Iowa Republican caucus, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas defeated eventual nominee Donald Trump by a 27.6% to 24.3% margin in what was considered an upset victory.

[24] On December 8, Haley addressed a convention center conference where she stated her campaign had momentum and needed "to have a good showing in Iowa.

Representatives Newspapers Aggregate polls Just minutes after the caucus events started at 7 pm local time, Trump was projected to win the most votes by the Associated Press.

[132][133] Ramaswamy, who placed fourth, announced the suspension of his campaign the night of the caucus, endorsing Trump, but will retain his three expected delegates.

[135] According to The Des Moines Register,[1] as well as The Hill[136] the turnout was reduced compared to the previous caucuses in 2020, due to the colder than normal weather.

Local regression graph of all polls conducted since November 2022.
Each candidate's vote share and 1st/2nd-place finisher in each county