338Canada is a Canadian political forecasting and commentary website that was founded in 2017.
338Canada was founded by Philippe J. Fournier in 2017 as an electoral statistics and projections website.
[1] In 2020 and 2024, the site produced projections for the 2020 United States presidential election and the 2024 United States presidential election.
[2][3] In 2025, the site gives the Conservative Party of Canada a >99% chance to win the 2025 Canadian federal election.
[6] Overall, the site has a 89.7% projection rate across 17 total provincial and federal elections, with the most accurate projection being in the 2024 Nova Scotia general election.