Aggregative Contingent Estimation (ACE) was a program of the Office of Incisive Analysis (OIA) at the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA).
[9] The program manager was future IARPA director Jason Gaverick Matheny.
[10] The official website says that the goals of ACE are "to dramatically enhance the accuracy, precision, and timeliness of intelligence forecasts for a broad range of event types, through the development of advanced techniques that elicit, weight, and combine the judgments of many intelligence analysts.
"[1] The website claims that ACE seeks technical innovations in the following areas:[1] There is a fair amount of research funded by grants made by the IARPA ACE program.
[5] Data from ACE is fed into another program, called Forecasting Science and Technology (ForeST), which partners with SciCast from George Mason University.