A mixed Poisson distribution is a univariate discrete probability distribution in stochastics.
It results from assuming that the conditional distribution of a random variable, given the value of the rate parameter, is a Poisson distribution, and that the rate parameter itself is considered as a random variable.
Hence it is a special case of a compound probability distribution.
Mixed Poisson distributions can be found in actuarial mathematics as a general approach for the distribution of the number of claims and is also examined as an epidemiological model.
[1] It should not be confused with compound Poisson distribution or compound Poisson process.
[2] A random variable X satisfies the mixed Poisson distribution with density π(λ) if it has the probability distribution[3] If we denote the probabilities of the Poisson distribution by qλ(k), then In the following let
π ( λ )
be the expected value of the density
π ( λ )
π ( λ )
be the variance of the density.
The expected value of the mixed Poisson distribution is For the variance one gets[3] The skewness can be represented as The characteristic function has the form Where
is the moment generating function of the density.
For the probability generating function, one obtains[3] The moment-generating function of the mixed Poisson distribution is Theorem — Compounding a Poisson distribution with rate parameter distributed according to a gamma distribution yields a negative binomial distribution.
π ( λ ) =
distributed random variable.
Theorem — Compounding a Poisson distribution with rate parameter distributed according to an exponential distribution yields a geometric distribution.
π ( λ ) =
1 β
λ β
1 β
distributed random variable.
Using integration by parts n times yields:
1 β
λ β
β
1 + β
β
β
β