[4] On November 2, the Storm Prediction Center outlined a Slight (2/5) risk for severe weather over southwest Oklahoma, western Texas, and extreme southeastern New Mexico.

A threat primarily existed for large hail, with gusty winds and tornadoes being possible, where outflow from the weak thunderstorms earlier in the day moved into the Permian Basin.

The storm mode was expected to converge into a squall line as the evening continued, with the potential for severe conditions to persist overnight into Oklahoma being noted.

After dark, forecasters noted airmass recovery on the back side of an outflow boundary over Texas, as well as the possibility of semi-discrete supercells that did develop being capable of all hazards if they extended to the surface.

The Storm Prediction Center issued an Enhanced(3/5) risk for parts of Oklahoma, Texas, Arkansas, and Missouri, warning of damaging winds, hail, and potentially strong tornadoes.