Autoregressive conditional duration

In financial econometrics, an autoregressive conditional duration (ACD, Engle and Russell (1998)) model considers irregularly spaced and autocorrelated intertrade durations.

ACD is analogous to GARCH.

In a continuous double auction (a common trading mechanism in many financial markets) waiting times between two consecutive trades vary at random.

τ

denote the duration (the waiting time between consecutive trades) and assume that

θ

are independent and identically distributed random variables, positive and with

and where the series

θ

θ

α

α

τ

α

τ

β

θ

τ

{\displaystyle \theta _{t}=\alpha _{0}+\alpha _{1}\tau _{t-1}+\cdots +\alpha _{q}\tau _{t-q}+\beta _{1}\theta _{t-1}+\cdots +\beta _{p}\theta _{t-p}=\alpha _{0}+\sum _{i=1}^{q}\alpha _{i}\tau _{t-i}+\sum _{i=1}^{p}\beta _{i}\theta _{t-i}}