Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, at the first election held after April 22, 2024, it will lose the eastern shore of Placentia Bay to Terra Nova—The Peninsulas, gain Salmon Cove from Bonavista—Burin—Trinity, lose the remainder of Paradise to Cape Spear, gain Witless Bay, Bay Bulls and the Southlands and Goulds areas of St. John's from St. John's South—Mount Pearl.

The Conservatives also have some concentration in the north central peninsula, including winning the town of Harbour Grace.

[7] The redefined Avalon had its boundaries legally defined in the 2013 representation order which came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for October 2015.

In the 2011 election, the Liberal candidate was the incumbent MP, Scott Andrews, a former municipal councillor from Conception Bay South.

He defeated the Tory candidate, Senator Fabian Manning of St. Bride's, for the second election in a row.