Decker Eveleth

Decker Eveleth is an associate research analyst at the CNA Corporation who specializes in utilizing satellite imagery and mixed methods to assess ballistic and cruise missile forces in the Middle East and Asia.

"[7] As a result of the discovery, Eveleth was nominated for the Arms Control Person of the Year Award, which he lost to Foreign Minister Marcelo Ebrard and the Government of Mexico.

[7][13] In October 2024, following the Iranian ballistic missile attacks on Israel, Eveleth analyzed satellite imagery of Nevatim Air Base, identifying 32 impact points.

[14] Subsequent analysis from Eveleth further identified the expected circular error probability (CEP) of Iran's missiles to be poor, between 700-1000m, making them unsuitable for use against hardened aircraft shelters like those used to protect Israel's F-35 fleet (a presumed target of the attack).

[18][20] Eveleth was part of a group of arms control analysts and academics from the Middlebury Institute, who roundly criticized MIT professor Theodore Postol's findings[21] regarding the similarities between the North Korean Hwasong-18 and Russian RT-2PM2 Topol-M intercontinental ballistic missiles.

He additionally contributes to Foreign Policy,[3] and to NK News[2] and is a frequent collaborator with non-proliferation expert Jeffrey Lewis on the Arms Control Wonk blog and podcast.