Lúcio Mauro Vinhas de Souza

His main research areas are global macroeconomics, development economics, monetary economics, finance and country risk, with extensive work experience at the developed economies of the European Union and the US, and in several emerging market regions, from the former Soviet Union to East Asia, Africa and Latin America.

[1] Prior to that, Dr. Vinhas de Souza was between 2011 and 2015 the first Sovereign Chief Economist of Moody's Investors Service (MIS), the second largest rating agency in the world.

Before joining Moody’s, Dr. Vinhas de Souza was a World Bank official based in its Washington, D.C. headquarters, where he worked in several subjects, from the euro area to China and Kazakhstan.

Prior to that, he was between 2005 and 2010 the Head for Russia and Belarus and coordinator for the Western countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States at the Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG-ECFIN) of the European Commission (EC).

[5] Dr. Vinhas de Souza is also currently a member of the advisory board of the John F. Welch College of Business at the Sacred Heart University in the United States and a fellow at several research centers.

2020 “Models of banking sectors integration: The Experience of the Baltics and Central Eastern Europe”, in Does EU membership facilitate convergence?

2018 “Reviving convergence: making EU member states fit for joining the euro area”, in Structural Reforms for Growth and Cohesion: Lessons and Challenges for CESEE Countries and a Modern Europe [16], Edward Elgar.

2016 "Engaging China at a Time of Transition: Capitalising on a New Era of Chinese Global Investment and Foreign Policy Initiatives" [18], European Commission.

2015 “The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank: A New Multilateral Financial Institution or a Vehicle for China’s Geostrategic Goals?” [23], European Commission.

2014“Financial Markets (Re) Segmentation in the Euro Area”, author and guest editor, Comparative Economic Studies, Volume 56, Issue 3, September 2014, Palgrave.

2014 “Commodity-Exporting Sovereigns: Fiscal Practices and Exchange Rate Regime Determine Resilience to Price Shocks”, Moody’s.

2013“Sub-Saharan Africa: Commodity Price Vulnerability Balanced by Favorable Economic Outlook and Gradual Structural Transformation”, Moody’s.

2012 “Euro Area Periphery: Structural Reforms Have Significantly Improved External Imbalances, But Full Resolution May Still Take Years”, Moody’s, New York, USA.

2012 “Sub-Saharan Africa: Despite Risks, Banking Sector Exposures to Euro Area are Mitigated by Structural Factors”, Moody’s, New York, USA.

2011 “Optimum Currency Area Criteria”, in “The Regional Integration Handbook”, de Lombaerde, P., Flores, R., Iapadre, L. and Shulz, M. (eds), Routledge, pp.

Lessons from a Crises Early Warning System for Eastern European and CIS Countries", in Comparative Economic Studies, 2006(48), pp;410–434.

2006 "Financial Liberalization and Business Cycles: The Experience of the New EU Member States in The Baltics and Central Eastern Europe", in Batten, J. and Kearney, C.

2006 "Beyond the euro area: An introduction", in Research in International Business and Finance, 20(2), pp;127–130 (also guest editor of this RIBAF issue).

), Norms and Nannies: The Impact of International Organisations on Central and East European States, Rowman and Littlefield, pp.

1999 "EMU and Enlargement: A Review of Policy Issues", Economic Affairs Series, Working Paper ECON 117 EN, Directorate General for Research, European Parliament, Luxembourg.