[3] Topics on Manifold have included the 2024 United States presidential election and the Oscars.

Manifold was founded in December 2021 by Austin Chen and brothers James and Stephen Grugett.

[5] Manifold received seed funding from the Astral Codex Ten grant program.

[8] In September 2023, Manifold hosted Manifest, a forecasting conference, in Berkeley, California.

Attendees included Nate Silver, Robin Hanson, Richard Hanania, Eliezer Yudkowsky, Robert Miles, and Destiny.