Predictive Microbiology is the area of food microbiology where controlling factors in foods and responses of pathogenic and spoilage microorganisms are quantified and modelled by mathematical equations [1] It is based on the thesis that microorganisms' growth and environment are reproducible, and can be modeled.
[2][3] Temperature, pH and water activity impact bacterial behavior.
These factors can be changed to control food spoilage.
[4] Models can be used to predict pathogen growth in foods.
Models are developed in several steps including design, development, validation, and production of an interface to display results.