Decoupling of wages from productivity

In a number of countries with above-average productivity growth, such as Korea, Poland or the Slovak Republic, real median wages have grown well above the OECD average despite significant wage-productivity decoupling.

However, where productivity growth has been around or below the OECD average, such as in Canada, Japan and the United States, decoupling has been associated with near-stagnation of real median wages.

[9] This could indicate the presence of "winner-takes-most" dynamics, as frontier firms take advantage of technology or globalisation-related increases in economies of scale and scope to reduce the share of fixed labour costs in value-added (e.g. related to research and development, product design or marketing) and/or again a dominant position that allows them to raise their mark-ups.

With the caveat that global value chain expansion is unlikely to be independent of technological change,[16] quantitatively its effect appears to be only around a third of that from declines in relative investment prices.

[18] However, it raises the question of how public policies can contribute to the broader sharing of the productivity gains from technological change and increased trade integration.

Public policies play a key role in ensuring that productivity gains from technological change and global value chain expansion are broadly shared with workers.

Average wages (solid line) vs GDP per hour worked (dotted line) in the G7 from 1990 to 2020