In mathematics, the Milstein method is a technique for the approximate numerical solution of a stochastic differential equation.
It is named after Grigori Milstein who first published it in 1974.
[1][2] Consider the autonomous Itō stochastic differential equation:
with initial condition
denotes the Wiener process, and suppose that we wish to solve this SDE on some interval of time
Then the Milstein approximation to the true solution
is the Markov chain
defined as follows: Note that when
(i.e. the diffusion term does not depend on
) this method is equivalent to the Euler–Maruyama method.
The Milstein scheme has both weak and strong order of convergence
which is superior to the Euler–Maruyama method, which in turn has the same weak order of convergence
but inferior strong order of convergence
[3] For this derivation, we will only look at geometric Brownian motion (GBM), the stochastic differential equation of which is given by:
= μ
t + σ
with real constants
μ
σ
Using Itō's lemma we get:
ln
μ −
σ
Thus, the solution to the GBM SDE is:
exp
{\displaystyle {\begin{aligned}X_{t+\Delta t}&=X_{t}\exp \left\{\int _{t}^{t+\Delta t}\left(\mu -{\frac {1}{2}}\sigma ^{2}\right)\mathrm {d} t+\int _{t}^{t+\Delta t}\sigma \mathrm {d} W_{u}\right\}\\&\approx X_{t}\left(1+\mu \Delta t-{\frac {1}{2}}\sigma ^{2}\Delta t+\sigma \Delta W_{t}+{\frac {1}{2}}\sigma ^{2}(\Delta W_{t})^{2}\right)\\&=X_{t}+a(X_{t})\Delta t+b(X_{t})\Delta W_{t}+{\frac {1}{2}}b(X_{t})b'(X_{t})((\Delta W_{t})^{2}-\Delta t)\end{aligned}}}
The numerical solution is presented in the graphic for three different trajectories.
[4] The following Python code implements the Milstein method and uses it to solve the SDE describing geometric Brownian motion defined by
init
{\displaystyle {\begin{cases}dY_{t}=\mu Y\,{\mathrm {d} }t+\sigma Y\,{\mathrm {d} }W_{t}\\Y_{0}=Y_{\text{init}}\end{cases}}}