Science Fiction Prototyping consists of a future story about a person in a place doing a thing.
Flags (warning events) are also determined in order to map societal indicators onto the recommended path toward the targeted future.
When identified flags appear in society, threatcasting participants map these back to the original forecast to see whether or not they are on track toward the target future scenario.
The notion of threatcasting can be traced back to Brian David Johnson, an applied futurist, who first began using threatcasting, also referred to as futurecasting, in 2011 and to George Hemingway of the Stratalis Group,[1] who pioneered notion of futurecasting for corporate strategy and innovation industrial markets, including mining[2] in the same year.
[3] Threatcasting is different from traditional strategic planning and scenario analysis processes due to the identification of specific actions, indicators and concrete steps that can be taken today to disrupt, mitigate and recover from future threats.