Cyclone Jasmine

As it moved across the South Pacific, earlier existing wind shear conditions lessened, and Jasmine began to strengthen at a faster rate.

Steadily intensifying, Jasmine reached peak intensity on 8 February as a Category 4 equivalent on the Saffir–Simpson Hurricane Scale, while beginning to show annular characteristics.

The next day Jasmine entered an area of vertical wind shear, which consequently weakened the cyclone and caused its eye to expand.

During 31 January the Australian Bureau of Meteorology started to monitor a tropical low, that had developed within the monsoon trough over the western Cape York Peninsula.

On 1 February, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's Brisbane tropical cyclone warning centre (TCWC Brisbane) and the United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) began to monitor a tropical low that had developed within a monsoon trough about 135 km (85 mi) to the north of Mornington Island.

[2][3] Over the next two days the low moved eastwards and passed over the Cape York Peninsula before it emerged into the Coral Sea to the north of Cairns.

[1] After emerging into the Coral Sea the low continued to develop, and on 4 February, the JTWC and TCWC Brisbane reported that the system had become a tropical cyclone with the latter naming it as Jasmine while it was located about 420 km (260 mi) to the east of Cairns.

[1][4] Tracking eastward, Jasmine entered a flow of dry air, which prevented the storm from strengthening quickly at the time.

On 5 February, the low–level atmospheric circulation center of Jasmine became exposed due to the presence of strong vertical wind shear.

Throughout the rest of the day, the wind shear subdued, and the system began to organize as convective banding wrapped around the center.

[6] Late on 7 February, while still tracking to the east-southeast, Jasmine rapidly intensified, with wind speeds increasing to 185 km/h (115 mph), sustained for one minute.

Later that day, Jasmine reached its peak intensity as it passed 280 km (170 mi) to the northeast of New Caledonia, with wind speeds of 215 km/h (134 mph), equivalent to a Category 4 cyclone on both the Australian and Saffir-Simpson hurricane scales (SSHS).

Throughout 8 February, Jasmine began to show characteristics of an annular hurricane, maintaining a large, asymmetric eye and rather shallow convective features.

Although Jasmine's convective bands continued to thin out, the cyclone maintained a gradually expanding eyewall and remained a compact system.

[5] On 13 February, convection re-developed and later strengthened over Jasmine's center of circulation due to the presence of the South Pacific convergence zone and warm SSTs.

Cyclone Jasmine was able to attain a secondary peak intensity of 85 km/h (53 mph), sustained for one minute, as the system's banding features became better defined.

[7] During its existence, parts of Queensland, the Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, New Caledonia, Fiji and Tonga were affected by Cyclone Jasmine.

After Jasmine entered the Coral Sea, a surface trough extending from the cyclone produced rainfall over coastal areas of eastern Australia.

[12] The aid agency Oxfam prepared for food and water shortages, using the previous year's severe weather to gauge potential impacts from Cyclone Jasmine.

[15] An aerial and ground damage survey began in the southern areas of the island chain after cyclone effects had subsided.

The Solomon Islands Meteorological Service (SIMS) issued a Tropical Cyclone Watch Advisory throughout the day for affected areas.

Map plotting the storm's track and intensity, according to the Saffir–Simpson scale
Map key
Tropical depression (≤38 mph, ≤62 km/h)
Tropical storm (39–73 mph, 63–118 km/h)
Category 1 (74–95 mph, 119–153 km/h)
Category 2 (96–110 mph, 154–177 km/h)
Category 3 (111–129 mph, 178–208 km/h)
Category 4 (130–156 mph, 209–251 km/h)
Category 5 (≥157 mph, ≥252 km/h)
Unknown
Storm type
triangle Extratropical cyclone , remnant low, tropical disturbance, or monsoon depression
Satellite image of a rather disorganized tropical cyclone, with ragged banding features and a disorganized center of circulation.
Cyclone Jasmine on 12 February
Satellite image of a disorganized cluster of thunderstorms, showing some rotation.
Cyclone Jasmine crossing the Cape York Peninsula on 3 February.