Probabilistic logic

Other difficulties include the possibility of counter-intuitive results, such as in case of belief fusion in Dempster–Shafer theory.

Source trust and epistemic uncertainty about the probabilities they provide, such as defined in subjective logic, are additional elements to consider.

Given a large collection of suspects, a certain percentage may be guilty, just as the probability of flipping "heads" is one-half.

Just as in courtroom reasoning, the goal of employing uncertain inference is to gather evidence to strengthen the confidence of a proposition, as opposed to performing some sort of probabilistic entailment.

There was a particularly strong interest starting in the 12th century, with the work of the Scholastics, with the invention of the half-proof (so that two half-proofs are sufficient to prove guilt), the elucidation of moral certainty (sufficient certainty to act upon, but short of absolute certainty), the development of Catholic probabilism (the idea that it is always safe to follow the established rules of doctrine or the opinion of experts, even when they are less probable), the case-based reasoning of casuistry, and the scandal of Laxism (whereby probabilism was used to give support to almost any statement at all, it being possible to find an expert opinion in support of almost any proposition.).