Cyclone Connie

Despite moderate wind shear, it gradually strengthened while stalling offshore, and late on January 25, was believed to have attained tropical storm status.

Thereafter, Connie slowly weakened due to increased wind shear as thunderstorm activity quickly diminished around the eye.

After threatening Mauritius, Connie then turned southwest, passing very close to Réunion late on January 28.

After briefly leveling off in intensity that evening, Connie soon became less organized, and midday on January 29, the eye became less defined.

Despite passing well offshore Mauritius, both the airport and the port were closed due to lack of certainty in the storm's path.

On January 22, an area of disturbed weather developed around 10°S to 15°S, a prime location for tropical cyclone formation within the basin.

[2] Following a significant increase in organization due to decreased wind shear,[1] the Météo-France office in Reunion (MFR)[nb 1] upgraded the system into Tropical Disturbance 4.

[1] Tropical Cyclone Connie slowly strengthened,[2] although this process was slowed due to upwelling of cold ocean waters.

Increased southerly wind shear from a tropical upper tropospheric trough (TUTT) took toll on the system.

During the morning hours of January 29 both agencies reduced the intensity to 145 km/h (90 mph) as the storm began to encounter dry air.

[2] By the afternoon, MFR downgraded Connie to tropical cyclone status; the eye had become cloud-filled, although it was still visible on radar.

[1] Later that day, the JTWC estimated that Connie lost hurricane-force winds roughly 500 km (310 mi) east of the southern tip of Madagascar; all of the storm's deep convection by this time was displaced to the south.

Based on satellite derived intensity estimates, the JTWC briefly re-upgraded Connie to a Category 1 hurricane equivalent on the SSHWS at 1800 UTC.

[1] Satellite imagery early on February 1 revealed an exposed circulation and a rapid decreased of thunderstorm activity in bothy coverage and intensity.

Based on this and the fact that the storm appeared to be losing tropical characteristics, MFR issued its final advisory on Connie.

[2] Despite large uncertainty in the storm's path, the international airport on the eastern side of Mauritius and all ships within the Port Louis harbor had departed.

[7] While making its closet approach to Mauritius on January 28, Connie brought heavy rains and strong winds to the archipelago.

[7] Due to its slow motion, Intense Tropical cyclone Connie deluged Reunion with heavy rains for several days before suddenly tampering off on January 29.

Map plotting the storm's track and intensity, according to the Saffir–Simpson scale
Map key
Tropical depression (≤38 mph, ≤62 km/h)
Tropical storm (39–73 mph, 63–118 km/h)
Category 1 (74–95 mph, 119–153 km/h)
Category 2 (96–110 mph, 154–177 km/h)
Category 3 (111–129 mph, 178–208 km/h)
Category 4 (130–156 mph, 209–251 km/h)
Category 5 (≥157 mph, ≥252 km/h)
Unknown
Storm type
triangle Extratropical cyclone , remnant low, tropical disturbance, or monsoon depression