Initially, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast that Odile would track westward and avoid land as it would curve out to sea.
In Odile's developmental stage, its heavy rainfall and storm surge inflicted minor coastal damage across southwestern Mexico and three deaths in Oaxaca and Jalisco.
Power outages spurred by Odile's intense winds and rain cut electricity to 92% of the population of Baja California Sur.
[1] On the next day, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) indicated the possibility for this wave to develop into a low-pressure area south of Mexico and later a tropical cyclone.
[2] By September 7, a large area of thunderstorms developed in association with the wave;[3] the broad system slowly progressed westward and gradually organized over the next few days.
This low became better defined over the next 24 hours as it tracked northwestward; the NHC determined that the disturbance had become sufficiently organized to be classified as a tropical depression at 00:00 UTC on September 10.
[1][11] The relaxed wind shear enabled the growth of intense rainbands encircling the tropical cyclone as well as improved outflow aloft.
[13] Upon being classified as a hurricane on September 13, Odile began to accelerate towards the north-northwest in the direction of the Baja California Peninsula under the influence of both a strengthening mid-level ridge over the Gulf of Mexico and an upper-level low to the northwest.
[15] Even though additional deepening was forecast,[16] strengthening leveled off thereafter as an eyewall replacement cycle, common in intense hurricanes, began to run its course.
[18] Nonetheless, the eroding of the hurricane's inner core due to the eyewall replacement cycle resulted in gradual weakening after peak intensity.
[19] Still maintaining its north-northwesterly course with little deviation,[19] Odile made landfall near Cabo San Lucas at 04:45 UTC on September 15 with winds of 125 mph (205 km/h) and a central pressure of 941 mbar (hPa; 27.79 inHg).
[1] The wind estimates tie Odile with Hurricane Olivia in 1967 as the strongest tropical cyclone to move ashore Baja California Sur in the satellite era.
[21] However, a combination of increasingly southwesterly wind shear and the Baja California Peninsula's mountainous terrain began to take its toll on the hurricane,[1][22] weakening it to a tropical storm by September 16.
[24] On September 17, a nearby mid-level ridge steered the system slowly northeastward, moving Odile into the Gulf of California as a moderate tropical storm.
[28] After turning northward and then northeastward in response to a mid-latitude trough, Odile moved inland over the northern part of the Mexican state of Sonora about near Alvaro Obregón as a marginal tropical storm.
[1] At 21:00 UTC on September 17, the NHC determined that the tropical storm had degenerated into a remnant area of low-pressure inland over northwestern mainland Mexico.
[30] This circulation dissipated by September 19, just east of the border between Arizona and New Mexico, leaving behind a marked mass of thunderstorms which persisted across the region for the next several days.
The watch was gradually extended northward as Odile paralleled the coast, and was briefly upgraded into a tropical storm warning on September 14.
[1] At 09:00 UTC September 13, a tropical storm watch was declared from La Paz, Baja California Sur to Santa Fe.
However, at 21:00 UTC, as the guidance rapidly shifted left, a tropical storm warning and hurricane watch was declared for the southern portion of the peninsula.
[1] Following the sudden shift in the projected track, a state of emergency was declared on September 14 in La Paz, Los Cabos, Comondú, Loreto and Mulegé.
[1] Heavy rains brought flooding to Oaxaca that killed two people; a nine-year old was swept away in a river and a company worker was struck by lightning.
[55] Due to a combination of high waves and storm surge, 69 buildings in Acapulco sustained damage, including 18 restaurants and a portion of a scenic walkway.
[61] By September 16, many tourists were airlifted to surrounding airports, including Tijuana, Mazatlán, Guadalajara, and Mexico City,[64] although one person perished on a flight back via a heart attack due to stress the storm created.
[75] On the eastern side of the peninsula, in the Bahía de los Ángeles area, 90 families were homeless due to floodwaters 1 m (3.3 ft) deep.
The accompanying winds downed several power lines and numerous large trees in El Cajon, Mission Valley and Wildomar.
Gusty winds uprooted trees, felled branches, cut power lines, crushed several cars, and flipped at least one airplane at Montgomery Field Airport.
[88] One passenger drowned in Eddy County[96][failed verification] and an oil field worker died in flood waters just south of Carlsbad.
[107] The Mexican Red Cross collected 163 tonnes (163,000 kg) of aid to victims of Odile in part due to the efforts of 1,080 people.
[111] As a result of the damage and destruction caused by the storm in Mexico, the name Odile was later retired by the World Meteorological Organization in April 2015, and will never be used again for an Eastern Pacific hurricane.